UAE Non-Oil Business Activity Surges to Nine-Month High in December

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 The United Arab Emirates' non-oil private sector recorded its fastest expansion in nine months in December 2024, buoyed by strong domestic demand and increased business activity, according to the latest S&P Global Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report. PMI Highlights Robust Growth The seasonally adjusted UAE PMI climbed to 55.4 in December from 54.2 in November, signaling robust growth well above the 50.0 threshold that separates expansion from contraction. This marked the third consecutive monthly increase, underscoring sustained recovery in the non-oil sector. Key drivers of growth included a notable rise in new business activity. The new orders subindex rose sharply to 59.3 in December from 58.0 in the previous month, reflecting strong domestic demand. Challenges Amid the Growth While domestic demand flourished, export growth slowed, with the export orders subindex dropping to a seven-month low. Additionally, businesses faced mounting backlogs due to capacity constraints,...

UAE treasury bonds rise 5.1 times so far in 2022

 

UAE

The third auction of UAE treasury bonds in dirhams was 5.1 times oversubscribed and generated bids totalling AED 7.6 billion. The auction is a component of the UAE's 9 billion AED plans for T-bond issuance in 2022.

 The Ministry of Finance (MoF) reports that a total of AED 1.5 billion in two tranches of two and three-year notes, each worth AED 750 million, were issued in the third auction.

 According to the ministry, "the success is evident in the excellent market-driven prices, which was reached by a spread of a 16 basis points (bps) over US Treasuries for two years, and a 15 bps over US Treasuries for three years.

 The last month for which data is available in June, which marked the conclusion of the protracted period of constraint. According to Treasury Department data, Saudi Arabia upped its stockpile by $4.5 billion, the largest since August 2020, to a little over $119 billion. It's still very close to its lowest point since 2017.

 Adding $1.6 billion was the neighbouring UAE, whose holdings have decreased by more than a third since June 2021. On data dating back to 1977, international investors made the most purchases throughout the January through June timeframe.

 The desire for dollar assets will only grow during an inflationary environment, according to Karen Young, a senior research scientist at Columbia University.

 Until now, the Gulf oil producers' decision to forego investing in what has historically been the safest and most liquid asset was a sign of a new strategy. Despite having a surplus of cash on hand, governments in the region are increasingly seeking to increase the returns on their deposits, reduce their debt, and diversify their economies away from the energy sector.

 In a departure from previous boom times, Saudi authorities stated earlier this year that the kingdom planned to keep billions of dollars from its oil income in a government current account until the end of 2022 and then determine how to disperse the money.

 Any shift in sentiment toward Treasury securities would signal a welcome resurgence in interest in US debt following a period of erratic movements and amid worries that the Federal Reserve's interest-rate increases could trigger a recession. On Tuesday, Treasuries decreased in value across the board as worries about a US economic slowdown grew.

 According to a document from one of the banks on the sale, which is anticipated to price later on Thursday, the bonds, for which demand exceeded $13.5 billion, would offer investors 100 basis points (bps) over U.S. Treasuries (UST) for the 10-year paper and 175 bps over UST for the Formosa notes.

 The T-Bonds initiative will help shape the yield curve for bonds denominated in UAE dirhams, offer investors secure investment options, bolster the local debt capital market, improve the investment climate, and support sustainable economic growth.

 The Ministry of Finance (MoF) is the issuer in the auction, while the Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE) is acting as the issuing and payment agent.

 Fixed-income investment securities known as T-Bonds are available for subscription to investors.

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