UAE Non-Oil Business Activity Surges to Nine-Month High in December

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 The United Arab Emirates' non-oil private sector recorded its fastest expansion in nine months in December 2024, buoyed by strong domestic demand and increased business activity, according to the latest S&P Global Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) report. PMI Highlights Robust Growth The seasonally adjusted UAE PMI climbed to 55.4 in December from 54.2 in November, signaling robust growth well above the 50.0 threshold that separates expansion from contraction. This marked the third consecutive monthly increase, underscoring sustained recovery in the non-oil sector. Key drivers of growth included a notable rise in new business activity. The new orders subindex rose sharply to 59.3 in December from 58.0 in the previous month, reflecting strong domestic demand. Challenges Amid the Growth While domestic demand flourished, export growth slowed, with the export orders subindex dropping to a seven-month low. Additionally, businesses faced mounting backlogs due to capacity constraints,...

Qatar Plays Its Natural Gas Selling Game With Careful Moves

Personal agendas might be reigning supreme in case of Qatar that has agreed to reduce the price of LNG supply Pakistan and could not adhere to an Indian request for the same.  When India recently requested Qatar to reduce the prices of LNG that it has been exporting to India over two long term contracts, Doha said it could not do so because it was keener to respect the sanctity of the contracts between the two countries.
India had signed two long term contracts with Qatar 1999 for supply to start in 2004. Qatar meets more than 60 percent of India’s LNG needs and the rest being divided amongst its other partner like Germany, US, Australia and Russia.

Prices were renegotiated only in 2015, leading to about a 50% cut in prices for India, which agreed to buy an extra 1 million tonnes per annum (mtpa) of the super-cooled gas from Qatar. Now, Doha does not want to lower its prices and said it was happy to supply more to meet India’s increasing gas needs.

On the flip side, Pakistan has been able to get Qatar to reduce its price on the pretext that under their agreement, Doha would have to match a price at par with 13 percent price of crude oil internationally. Price of crude oil has been on the downward movement due to the increasing threat of the coronavirus that started building in December last year from China. The price dropped from 49 dollars to 35 dollars per barrel across the world due to mutual oil price competition between Saudi Arabia and Russia at that time in January.

India feels compelled to ask Qatar to lower its selling price due to the spot LNG prices for the fuel delivered at Indian ports that are currently around half the price compared to that in the long-term supply contracts.

No wonder, Qatar’s LNG prices under long-term supply contracts might look much less appealing to India, which has set a goal to more than double the share of natural gas in its energy mix by 2030.

The price selling gas to India has been constant despite the dips in the oil prices, putting pressure on the Indian consumer. India meets most of its LNG needs through Qatar that is its largest supplying partner. Qatar holds one of the world’s largest reserves of natural gas and has been working to create infrastructure that could facilitate comfortable exports to others parts of the world.
Qatar has been a smart seller after it was expelled from the quartet. It has been carefully looking at building its bonds with prospective buyers for its natural gas reserves which makes it an extremely lucrative seller to countries that are looking for energy efficient fuel. 

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